North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #7
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 20.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 75.4%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/5 9/12 9/12 9/19 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 255 262 247 872 426 979 289 298 278 256 297 247
Team Adjusted Rating 262 247 255 263 255 289 298 278 256 297 247
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
8  Ellen Baker 12 18:23 18:34 18:41 18:36 18:20 18:13 18:20 18:34 18:15
88  Sophia Tipmore 10 19:43 19:38 19:22 19:44 19:41 19:48 20:02 19:28 20:02 19:38
115  Emma Vatnsdal 10 19:52 20:35 20:35 20:37 20:45 20:12 20:25 20:10 19:44
147  Margot Grotland 10 20:07 20:03 19:52 19:57 20:04 20:04 20:21 19:52 20:33 20:18
216  Rahiwa Tezera 11 20:25 20:15 20:09 20:39 20:50 20:37 20:13 20:24 20:24 20:17
219  Maddie Rocchio 9 20:26 20:25 20:50 20:51 20:38 20:18 20:59 20:28 20:17
308  Mary Edwards 10 20:43 20:15 20:33 20:44 20:37 20:59 20:39 21:01
425  Eleanor Hostetler 10 21:06 21:01 21:11 21:53 20:25 21:05 21:05
647  Evy Krueger 9 21:42 22:58 21:30 21:33 21:38
687  Claire Ekienberry 9 21:49 21:49 22:43 21:31 21:41
734  Reagan Shaar 11 21:55 21:26 22:27 21:17 22:31
792  Anna Youtsey 10 22:04 22:12 23:16 21:49 21:49
843  Mia Rivas 10 22:11 21:59 22:08 22:12 22:24
844  Sami Tezera 9 22:12 22:43 22:03 22:18 22:01
890  Adrianne Jackson 11 22:20 22:20
1,267  Zoe Munn 11 23:09 23:39 23:20 22:44
1,269  Ellen Osterman 11 23:09 23:10
1,360  Raionce Rodney 11 23:21 23:37 23:07
Mckenna Martin 9 24:07 24:55 23:32




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 8.5 289 1.1 5.8 13.6 14.2 12.5 10.8 9.7 7.7 5.8 4.7 3.4 2.8 2.3 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.8 151 23.3 26.8 25.0 11.8 6.4 3.2 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.2 92 79.9 16.4 3.3 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 52 97.6 2.2 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 100% 10.1 0.7 1.6 3.0 4.3 6.1 7.1 6.8 7.0 6.7 6.2 6.0 5.7 4.8 4.1 3.7 3.3 3.2 2.4 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.2 99.7%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 80.8 1.6%
Emma Vatnsdal 100% 93.8 0.4%
Margot Grotland 100% 115.0 0.0%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 140.0 0.0%
Maddie Rocchio 100% 140.8 0.0%
Mary Edwards 100% 162.6 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 100% 4.4 2.9 11.1 15.1 15.2 13.9 11.2 8.4 6.1 4.7 3.7 2.5 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.4 84.0%
Emma Vatnsdal 100% 42.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 68.8%
Margot Grotland 100% 54.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 36.3%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 72.6 0.0 9.8%
Maddie Rocchio 100% 73.2 0.0 8.8%
Mary Edwards 100% 93.4 1.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 100% 4.1 2.8 11.5 16.0 17.4 16.8 12.2 8.9 5.9 3.7 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 20.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.8 4.3 5.6 7.9 10.5 13.2 16.0 12.2 8.6 5.3 3.3 100.0%
Emma Vatnsdal 100% 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.4 5.4 8.5 12.1 15.2 12.7 9.5 6.6 100.0%
Margot Grotland 100% 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.1 5.5 8.8 9.6 8.8 100.0%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.7 100.0%
Maddie Rocchio 100% 36.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.7 100.0%
Mary Edwards 100% 46.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 2.8 4.4 23.9 27.6 26.8 16.9 0.3
Sophia Tipmore 8.6 0.1 5.3 10.7 18.3 26.8 19.3 10.1 4.2 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Emma Vatnsdal 9.9 1.3 3.4 8.1 16.6 23.4 19.5 11.4 6.2 3.8 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Margot Grotland 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 7.5 14.0 18.1 14.6 10.7 8.6 7.0 5.2 3.8 2.7 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1
Rahiwa Tezera 17.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.7 4.1 6.8 8.0 9.3 9.1 10.0 10.7 9.3 8.5 7.2 5.2 4.0 2.6 1.4
Maddie Rocchio 17.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 6.3 7.9 8.7 9.1 9.7 10.5 10.1 8.5 7.1 6.2 4.1 2.9 1.7
Mary Edwards 21.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.7 4.2 4.9 6.9 8.1 10.4 11.5 11.1 11.0 9.5